Risk Disclosure.
PLACEHOLDER DRAFT. PENDING ATTORNEY REVIEW. NOT YET IN EFFECT.
OPPORTUNITIES ARE NOT PROFITS. NOTHING HERE IS FINANCIAL ADVICE. PREDICTION MARKETS CARRY RISK. WE GUARANTEE WHAT WE SURFACE, NOT WHAT YOU MAKE.
1. You can lose money
Prediction market contracts can go to zero. A graded spread is a measurement, not a promise. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.
2. Arbitrage is not riskless
Cross-market spreads can widen instead of close, one leg can fill while the other does not, and a position can be stuck until resolution. Fees, slippage, and thin order books can turn a positive headline spread into a loss.
3. Resolution mismatch is real
Two venues can describe the same event and settle it differently. ArbCatch flags mismatch risk, but flags are judgments from written rules, and rules get interpreted by the venues, not by us.
4. Venue and platform risk
Venues can halt markets, change rules, delay settlement, restrict accounts, or fail. ArbCatch depends on venue data feeds that can be wrong or delayed.
5. Past performance
Track record figures on this site, including the 14-day snapshot, are historical results from our own account. They do not predict your results. The calculator on the homepage is a model driven by assumptions you control. It is not a projection and not a promise.
6. No advice, no fiduciary duty
ArbCatch is software and education. We are not registered as an investment adviser, broker, or commodity trading advisor, and we owe you no fiduciary duty. Every trade is your decision.
7. Legality and taxes
Access to prediction market venues depends on where you live. You are responsible for using only venues that are lawful for you, and for your own taxes.
8. Contact
Questions: hello@arbcatch.ai.